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Fund Record & Performance

Securing returns through disciplined position sizing, absolute risk management, and rigorous trade execution.

Total Net Return+181.55%Outperforming the index benchmark (+14.50%).2026 YTD Return: +7.00%
Max Risk Per Play1% – 3%Strict stop-loss bounds applied universally to maintain capital preservation.
Capital Integrity100%Clean record of zero accounts blown. Risk parameters dictate action, not emotion.
Testing Crux3.8M2-year paper trading path growing a 100k account through drawdown to a 3.8M final balance.

Portfolio Return Trajectory

Hover over the coordinates to trace the trajectory. The visual represents the cumulative net return percentage before capital distribution.

Cumulative Return (%)
Unrealized
Portfolio
US 500
+620% (Paper Peak)+175% (Realized 2025)0.0%
Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Jan 2026May 2026Jul 2026

Operational Philosophy

Current Strategy Allocation
80%CASH
80% Cash & Preservation
10% Special Situations
10% Commodity Futures

Performance Ledger

A strict percentage-only audit breakdown of asset contribution. Returns factor in transaction slippage and overheads.

Sector Class2025 Return2026 YTD ReturnCumulative Total Return
Forex / Precious Metal+156.50%+156.50%
Equities (Mining / Exploration)+28.69%+28.69%
Equities (YTD / Special Situations)+5.54%+5.54%
Energy Futures+1.46%+1.46%
Portfolio Overhead Drag-10.64%-10.64%
Combined Portfolio+174.55%+7.00%+181.55% Net Return

The Crux — Quantitative Expectancy

10,000-run Monte Carlo simulations and outcome expectancy distribution showing systematic survival statistics.

Monte Carlo Equity Cloud (10,000 Paths)

+620.00% (Peak)Median (+174.55%)95% CI Lower Bound10k Runs (MC Cloud)

Probability Density & Expectancy Cloud

95% VaR (2.10%)Median YTD (+174.55%)Sharpe (2.87) / Sortino (3.42)Expectancy Density (Bell Curve)

Next Plays & YTD Status

Right now, the major silver run is behind us. We have locked in our returns and are actively monitoring the markets. For the current year (2026), our systematic positioning has already delivered a +7.00% Year-to-Date (YTD) return.

Our models are screening global coordinates for the next major asymmetric entry point.

Current Work: Market Participation

To capture the next structural asymmetric opportunities, we are currently focused on Commitment of Traders (COT) report analysis.

By systematically decoding the net positioning of commercial hedgers (smart money) against leveraged speculators, we map the underlying flows of market participation.

We trade where capital flows are stretched, identifying the exact coordinates of structural trend exhaustion.

COT Net Positioning (XAG Contracts)

Leveraged Speculators (Net Long)Commercial Hedgers (Smart Money)Net Zero

Future Horizon: Algorithmic Volatility Hedging

As we expand our absolute return framework, we are developing algorithmic strategies designed to hedge multiple market risks.

Tail-Risk Options Overlay

We are constructing options-based volatility structures designed to capture sharp changes in implied volatility. This systematically safeguards our capital, ensuring robust defense during major market crashes and systemic liquidity roll-overs.

Implied Volatility Smile (OTM Put Premium)

30-Day Expiry (High Tail-Risk Bid)ATM Strike (100%)OTM Puts (Hedging)OTM Calls (Speculative)

Stress Tests — Drawdown & Risk Analysis

Before deploying real capital, we spent two years in full-scale paper trading to refine our testing systems.

Our initial model took a 100k account and faced an immediate, humbling drawdown to 50k. This initial failure was our greatest asset. It forced us to redesign our risk parameters, study market drawdowns, and build structured rules for sizing.

With strict controls implemented, the same system recovered and scaled to peak at 4M before settling at a final, consolidated balance of approximately 3.8M.

We do not believe in luck; we believe in the statistics of survival.

Drawdown Profile & Peak-to-Trough Analysis

0% Drawdown (Baseline)-30.00%-60.00%-50.00% Max DrawdownRecovery Phase (Month 2 - Month 8)Risk Controls Active (< 8% Pullbacks)Drawdown Profile (24-Month Backtest)

Rolling Sharpe Ratio & Risk-Adjusted Return

0.0 (Baseline)1.0 (Target Hurdle)2.0 (Premium Quality)3.0Sharpe Ratio: 2.87Post-Drawdown StabilizationRolling Sharpe (24-Month Stabilization)

Inquire for Allocation

Our absolute return strategy is reserved for qualified institutional partners who appreciate systematic risk controls and historical persistence.

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